Cost transparency · measured 2026-09-12 · n=46
What one Issue delivery actually costs
We don't take a margin on your tokens. Measured across 46 real deliveries of our own repository: the median delivery runs 2,220,637 tokens, the mean 4,742,066; at DeepSeek V4.1 Flash list prices the mean delivery is about $0.06–0.12, and 100 issues ≈ $6–12. Your key, your bill, every cent visible in your provider's dashboard.
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THE MEASUREMENT
46 real deliveries, measured on our own repository
Every Orbi delivery runs two agent sessions — the implementation, then an independent review that can repair the branch and rerun the suite. As of 2026-09-12 we aggregated the session logs of n=46 deliveries of the orbi repository itself (Python, full CI, issues written to spec). The sample is whatever worktrees are on disk that day — it moves as worktrees get cleaned up — so n is a snapshot as of the stated date, not a permanent fact. Here is the complete per-delivery distribution of totalTokens — the count the provider actually bills, cache reads included:
| Quantile | totalTokens per delivery |
|---|---|
| p50 (median) | 2,220,637 |
| p75 | 3,961,248 |
| p90 | 13,290,932 |
| p95 | 16,555,250 |
| Max | 37,627,783 |
| Mean | 4,742,066 |
Source, so anyone can re-derive it: the agent session logs of the orbi-build/orbi repository's git worktrees (<repo>/.worktrees/*/.pi-session/*.jsonl), aggregated 2026-09-12. One delivery = one worktree's implement + review sessions; a delivery's totalTokens = the sum of usage.totalTokens over every logged record; n = worktrees whose logs carry at least one usage record (older or newer sessions without usage logging are not countable); percentiles by nearest rank. The sample moves as worktrees are cleaned up. Where the tokens go: 95.9% cache reads, 3.4% input, 0.7% output.
WHAT THAT MEANS IN MONEY
Cents per delivery at DeepSeek V4.1 Flash list prices
DeepSeek publishes its prices — deepseek-flash (DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash): off-peak, a cache hit is $0.003/1M tokens, a cache miss $0.15/1M, output $0.60/1M. Peak hours (01:00–04:00 and 06:00–10:00 UTC, weekdays) are exactly double. Apply those list prices to the measured distribution:
| Scenario | Off-peak | Peak |
|---|---|---|
| One delivery (mean, 4.74M tokens) | $0.058 | $0.115 |
| One delivery (max observed, 37.6M tokens) | $0.46 | $0.92 |
| 100 issues (mean mix) | ~$5.77 | ~$11.55 |
Money computed at the measured token mix (95.9% / 3.4% / 0.7%) against DeepSeek's published deepseek-flash list prices — api-docs.deepseek.com/quick_start/pricing, verified 2026-09-11.
READ THE LIMITS FIRST
Three things this page does not claim
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OUR REPO ONLY
This is our repository's measured range — not a promise to everyone
Python, a full CI suite, and issues written to spec keep our context short. A repository with longer context, slower tests, or vaguer issues lands elsewhere in the distribution. Treat the tables above as what they are: our repo's measured range.
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CACHING IS LOAD-BEARING
95.9% cache reads assumes the provider supports prompt caching
The whole cost structure rests on cache hits. On an endpoint without prompt caching — where every token bills as a miss — the same work costs roughly an order of magnitude more. Check your provider before extrapolating.
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TOTAL TOKENS, AS BILLED
Numbers are totalTokens, cache reads included
That is the line the provider actually bills. Counting only input + output would hide about 96% of the real consumption and flatter the number — the opposite of what this page is for.
WHY IT'S SO CHEAP
A cache hit costs 1/50 of a miss — and 95.9% of the work is cache hits
Each delivery re-reads the same repository context: the tree, the conventions, the issue, the failing tests. Prompt caching turns that repeated reading into billed hits at $0.003/1M instead of misses at $0.15/1M. That single ratio is why a full delivery — implementation plus independent review that can repair and rerun — costs cents. It is also the honest question to ask any BYOK agent vendor: what share of your tokens are cache hits, and what does your provider charge for each?
THE $200 TIER, FOR REFERENCE
Competitors quote quotas. We quote tokens and prices.
The managed agents at the $200 tier do not publish what your money buys. Verified against their own documentation:
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DEVIN
"A daily and weekly usage quota" — no quantity, no unit price
Pro ($20/month) includes "a daily and weekly usage quota"; Max ($200/month) adds "a significantly larger weekly usage quota (with no daily cap)". Nowhere on the page does Cognition state how many ACUs either plan includes or what one ACU costs.
Source: docs.devin.ai/admin/billing/self-serve — verified 2026-09-11.
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FACTORY
"~5x Pro usage" / "~10x Pro usage" — no absolute values
Plus ($100/month) is "~5x Pro usage"; Max ($200/month) is "~10x Pro usage". The page states no absolute token quantity and no per-token price anywhere.
Source: docs.factory.ai/pricing/individuals — verified 2026-09-11.
| Subscription | Model fee | Total | Tagged Release out | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orbi + DeepSeek | $0 self-hosted; or US$79/mo Cloud — 300M tokens included (Founding coupon 100% off, limited) | ~$6–12 measured self-hosted; included in Cloud | $6–12 self-hosted; US$79 Cloud | Yes — reviewed PR, exact-head merge, tagged Release |
| Devin Max | $200 | Quota not published | $200+ | Docs stop at PR ("from prompt to PR") |
| Factory Max | $200 | "~10x Pro usage", no absolute value | $200+ | No tag/Release step documented |
Devin row per docs.devin.ai/admin/billing/self-serve; Factory row per docs.factory.ai/pricing/individuals — both verified 2026-09-11. Orbi model fee: the measured range above.
YOUR KEY, YOUR BILL
Check these numbers against your own dashboard
Run Orbi with your own DeepSeek key and the provider's usage page shows every delivery, every token, every cent. That is the whole pitch: nothing sits between you and your bill.